Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000771 0.000875 0.000984 0.001109 0.001245 0.001390 0.001555
2025-08-17 0.000599 0.000742 0.000903 0.001097 0.001323 0.001577 0.001881
2025-08-24 0.000493 0.000649 0.000834 0.001066 0.001348 0.001674 0.002079
2025-08-31 0.000412 0.000574 0.000774 0.001035 0.001361 0.001752 0.002250
2025-09-07 0.000360 0.000529 0.000743 0.001032 0.001404 0.001860 0.002455
2025-09-14 0.000320 0.000492 0.000719 0.001032 0.001447 0.001967 0.002658
2025-09-21 0.000282 0.000454 0.000689 0.001022 0.001472 0.002049 0.002831
2025-09-28 0.000248 0.000418 0.000656 0.001004 0.001486 0.002114 0.002980
2025-10-05 0.000232 0.000406 0.000657 0.001031 0.001559 0.002258 0.003235
2025-10-12 0.000216 0.000392 0.000653 0.001051 0.001621 0.002388 0.003473
2025-10-19 0.000194 0.000367 0.000631 0.001041 0.001642 0.002462 0.003636
2025-10-26 0.000174 0.000342 0.000606 0.001027 0.001653 0.002522 0.003782
2025-11-02 0.000161 0.000329 0.000599 0.001039 0.001704 0.002638 0.004009
2025-11-09 0.000147 0.000313 0.000586 0.001040 0.001738 0.002732 0.004207
2025-11-16 0.000128 0.000285 0.000553 0.001008 0.001721 0.002751 0.004298
2025-11-23 0.000112 0.000261 0.000523 0.000978 0.001705 0.002771 0.004391
2025-11-30 0.000102 0.000248 0.000510 0.000975 0.001730 0.002849 0.004568
2025-12-07 0.000093 0.000236 0.000500 0.000976 0.001759 0.002934 0.004756
2025-12-14 0.000084 0.000222 0.000484 0.000966 0.001771 0.002993 0.004907
2025-12-21 0.000075 0.000207 0.000464 0.000949 0.001770 0.003033 0.005030
2025-12-28 0.000072 0.000205 0.000470 0.000975 0.001840 0.003182 0.005316
2026-01-04 0.000068 0.000201 0.000471 0.000993 0.001898 0.003313 0.005579
2026-01-11 0.000062 0.000190 0.000457 0.000984 0.001910 0.003372 0.005734